Monday, July 31, 2006

India's future " a race against time"

India shining campaign launched by the NDA in 2004 elections was ridiculed by a large section of the society. Its deserved to be ridiculed. Achieving over 8 % growth in one year does not mean that India has started shining and everybody has become well off. In fact what I believe is that even such a rate of growth for two decades might not make India shine.
India's future will be decided by an ongoing race between forces which are developing India and those which are trying there best too retard our economic growth and even nullify the progress which we have made since the last hundred years.
The government here has been focusing all its attention on the economic growth only and according to some only an sustained growth of over 8% for a long period of time can solve India's woes. But the fact is that the economic development is perhaps one of the parameter which decides our society's well being and if the dragging forces become too strong then it can negate the benefits of the economic growth.

Economically our country has been doing quite well in patches. Some of the states have developed really fast and have left other regions behind by many years .
The private sector has been the engine of this growth and its speed is going on increasing.
But the benefits of our developments have not reached every body and this is a major cause of concern. This not a case specific to India only. Even countries like China ,Brazil, Indonesia and Malaysia face the same problem. But given the volatile political situation here,the result could be more devastating for India. We have got a whole pack of demagogues who are always ready to utilize any kind of resentment in the public for their benefit.

The rise of crimocracy( sham democracy run by the criminals and strongmen) and absence of a potent force to counter it has become perhaps the biggest problem faced by India.
And this is where the danger lies . A nation whose rulers are hell bent on destroying there country.

Frankly speaking our country is slowly slipping towards chaos and this is in spite of the economic development taking place.

The dangers might not be clearly visible to everybody.
The problem of armed communist is not being tackled properly and they have taken control over more than 150 of the districts and are running parallel governments there.
Result of this unchecked growth of maoist will certainly start showing on our society in near future.
The police and judiciary is in total mess and this is helping the rise of Crimocracy. And the government is doing nothing to cure it , resulting in a slow decay of the society.

Then comes the quota system of the government. There is a race to win over the OBC , SC, ST etc and the merit has been severely been compromised in the name of their up liftment.
Nobody is trying for their real Up liftment. But the OBCs, SC and STs are too happy with the current state of affairs. They are happy to be on life support systems. Instead of spreading the education at the grass root level and then making them independent on there own, the government has decided to give a crutches to them. This at the cost of our future.This reservations are there in each aspect of the government functioning. Right from higher education to jobs to promotions and to the parliament too. Hopefully the government will soon extend it to the private sector thus pronouncing a death punishment to it also. The reservations might be extended to the minorities also. After all they too would like too have a life where government provides them complete care right from cradle to grave. After all 95% of humanity loves not to work.

The final major threat comes from the rise of religious fundamentalism among the minorities and the response of Hindus to this .The Hinduism has undergone a lot of transformation and it will no longer be a mute spectator to the challenge from minorities. It is sure to create a friction in our country. The minority population is growing disproportionately and the demagogues are patronizing the hardliners among them for their votes. This has emboldened them and it is a recipe for trouble in future.

I have painted a frightening picture of future.
But in reality it might not be so. Because economic development and these negative forces are counter balancing to each others. It will depend upon our economic elites that how they reign in these crimorates. They are the forces capable of doing that. They can force the government to take the right path. It will benefit them and us too. The common mass of India is too disillusioned too rise too this challenge.

The other silver lining is that it take only a single good leader to change the fortune of a nation.
And like Jews , India too is waiting for the messiah too arrive before its too late.

Monday, July 24, 2006

threater of middle east

The common people treats the crisis in the middle east as a conflict between Israel on one side and the Palestine/ hardliner Arab nations on the other side with U S and UK as marginal players. But what most people fail to see is the larger picture. Middle east in the energy source of the world that has necessitated the close involvement of the world power in its affairs. Its a conflict between the super power US and the oil rich Arab nations which are opposed to its dominance ( in reality dominance of any non Muslim nation / Muslims nations of other sect eg Shia or Sunni) in the Arab region. But the fact is that given the importance of this region for the world economy ,the world powers cannot leave this region in the hands of medevial regimes.
And here Israel comes handy to them in their mission. The strategic location of Israel (given that it is the only non Muslim country in the heart of Muslim world) makes it an ideal proxy for America to fight its war of dominance and control.On the other side Israel is perhaps the most threatened country in the world right from its establishment and it needs the support of US to survive . It knows that no amount of concessions to Palestinians can buy them peace. They can be in peace only if they cease to exist in that part of the world. This makes the relationship between the US and Israel a unique symbiotic one. Both use each other for mutual benefit and realization of there goal.
The response of Israel to the abduction of the soldiers is not only being silently supported by the US but most probably the action plans might have been finalized by Israel after close consultation with the US. Whatever is happening can be seen as a reply of US to the defiance of Iran on the nuclear front.The Hezbollahs are very close to Iran and it is said that they get there strength from Iran . Without Iran's and Syria's help they would be reduced to a mob retaliating Israels tank fire with their stone missiles.
Its is not that the whole abduction event is stage managed by US, but it is making ful use of the opportunity to fulfill its aim in middle east. By encouraging Israel in its attack, it is sending a clear signal to both Iran and Syria. That it is the boss and same thing could be in store for them too.I wonder whether the Israeli response would have been same if Hamas had done the kidnapping. But Hezbollah is a front of Iran and its destruction in front of a helpless Iran and Syria will send clear signal to the right place.